The UCL-led study updates previous work suggesting dementia incidence has been in decline in high-income countries such as the UK.
Some 1.7 million people could be living with dementia in England and Wales by 2040 – over 40% more than previously thought, research suggests.
“If the upward incidence trend continues, along with population ageing, the number of people with dementia in England and Wales is projected to increase to 1∙7 million in 2040.” “Not only will this have a devastating effect on the lives of those involved but it will also put a considerably larger burden on health and social care than current forecasts predict.Although an increase in dementia cases has often been put down to an ageing population, the researchers also found that the rate of people developing dementia in older age groups is also rising.
James White, head of national influencing at the Alzheimer’s Society, said: “Dementia is the biggest health and social care issue of our time. “Quality social care can make a huge difference to people’s lives, but we know that people with dementia – who are the biggest users of social care – are struggling with a care system that’s costly, difficult to access, and too often not tailored to their needs.”
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