2019 Election Analysis: ANC returns, DA flat-lines – it’s time both face factional demons or risk missing voters’ message

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2019 Election Analysis: ANC returns, DA flat-lines – it’s time both face factional demons or risk missing voters’ message
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2019 Election Analysis: ANC returns, DA flat-lines – it's time both face factional demons or risk missing voters' message By Marianne Merten marianne_merten

For the first time in a decade the ANC, at 57.72% on Friday evening’s undeclared results with 94.75% of ballots counted, has upped its election stake and reversed the slide that saw it end up with 54% overall support in the local government elections. That result then, together with a very low voter turn-out in traditional ANC support areas, was a local manifestation of anger with then-president Jacob Zuma and his scandal-ridden administration.

morning with some 60% of the ballots counted, the ANC dipped under the 50% threshold – and the party was at pains to point out it expected another one-million votes as over 600 voting stations in township areas in Johannesburg and Pretoria were still outstanding.Daily Maverick By Friday evening with 95% of the provincial vote completed, that picture had not shifted even though earlier in the day an ANC insider remained confident support levels would move up.

These debates are set to play out at the upcoming ANC National Executive Committee that will discuss, among others, who would be the ANC premiers, with a discussion on a possible Cabinet also anticipated. However, it is a better performance of 47% in the Western Cape, and also down nationally, that had been forecast by the DA’s own internal pollsters late last year. That performance only appeared to change, according to the party’s internal tracking, earlier in 2019.

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