Sammy P is back with his favorite best bets for Week 1 of the 2024 college football season. Read to see which underdogs he's backing and why he likes Miami on the moneyline.
And we’re back! The first full weekend of college football has arrived, and it’s time to kickstart the weekly best bets column. Last year, we finished 53-43 and 5.3 units in the green. Remember, this space isn’t the place for a million picks or five-team parlays. These will always be the games I love the most. Let’s go to work. Florida Atlantic at Michigan State Tom Herman generally thrives as an underdog.
Florida Atlantic to lose by fewer than 13 points or win outright Miami at Florida I hate how much I love Miami this year. Not only did I bet the Hurricanes to win this interstate affair, I might have pops at +250 and +225 on ‘em to make the College Football Playoff. Those prices are much lower thanks to Florida State’s dud in Dublin. The Hurricanes have more talent than Florida, better line play on both sides and the superior quarterback.
Miami to win West Virginia at Penn State This number was 10 for most of August. Now we’re seeing 7.5 scattered across the American markets and the offshore ones, too. James Franklin might not win big games, but since 2005, he’s the third most-profitable coach in college football behind Mike Gundy and Jim Tressel. Thanks to Evan Abrams from The Action Network for that nugget. Franklin is also very good at knowing the spread and going out of his way to cover it. I’ll lay the wood here.
Penn State to win by more than 7 points Notre Dame at Texas A&M My numbers have the Irish as a 1-point favorite. That’s not to say my numbers are better than Vegas’ numbers, but this game opened a PK earlier this summer. The always-expected SEC bias combined with concerns about Notre Dame’s offensive line to drive the betting line to A&M -3.
Notre Dame to lose by fewer than 3 points or win outright Sam Panayotovich is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and BetQL Network. He previously worked for WGN Radio, NBC Sports and VSiN. Follow him on Twitter @spshoot.
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