Anglo’s stumbles have made it prey for mining’s biggest predator

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Anglo’s stumbles have made it prey for mining’s biggest predator
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in mid-April 2022, things had rarely looked better for the century-old miner. Metals prices soared as the world emerged from lockdowns, the company had recently posted its best-ever annual profit and the popular industry veteran was handing over to a trusted lieutenant. Anglo stock hit a record the same day.and cherry pick its best assets marks a humbling moment for the mining house founded by the storied Oppenheimer dynasty and owner of the iconic De Beers diamond business.

“Anglo was the most-liked stock a couple of years ago,” said Ben Davis, an analyst at Liberum Capital. “Repeated guidance disappointments and relative underperformance of its commodity basket has left it vulnerable to approaches.”Just days after he left, the company announced a major setback at its mines, with production falling and costs rising. And what initially looked like a one-off for an otherwise reliable producer spiraled out from there.

But its weakness has left the company vulnerable. BHP has made a nonbinding proposal to buy Anglo in an all-share deal that valued the smaller company at about $39 billion based on Tuesday’s prices, BHP said in a statement on Thursday morning. Crucially, BHP wants Anglo to first split off the South African platinum and iron ore businesses, spinning them out to existing shareholders, before a takeover could happen.

One of the keys for BHP to pull off a deal for Anglo may lie in South Africa. The country’s state pension fund manager is Anglo’s biggest shareholder, and the group’s platinum and iron ore companies are two of South Africa’s biggest listed stocks. As Apartheid sanctions bit, the company invested more in South Africa, becoming a sprawling conglomerate. Then, as international markets became accessible again, it rapidly grew overseas, building and buying coal mines in Australia, iron ore in Brazil and copper in Chile and Peru.

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