ANOTHER pandemic on the scale of Covid-19 is likely to hit within 60 years, a study has warned. The number of diseases spreading to humans is set to rise threefold in the coming decades, it said. T…
Even though the rate at which pandemics have occurred in the past varies widely, certain patterns were identified.
This allowed the researchers to calculate how likely an event of similar scale was likely to happen again. The probability of novel disease outbreaks will likely grow three-fold in the next few decades, the researchers warn.Understanding pandemics aren’t rare should raise the priority of efforts to prevent and control them in future.Co-author Professor Gabriel Katul said: "That is not to say we can count on a 59-year reprieve from a COVID-like pandemic, nor that we're off the hook for a calamity on the scale of the Spanish flu for another 300 years.
"When a 100-year flood occurs today, one may erroneously presume that one can afford to wait another 100 years before experiencing another such event.A deeper exploration of why devastating pandemics are becoming more likely and how to combat them is needed. Dr Pan added: "This points to the importance of early response to disease outbreaks and building capacity for pandemic surveillance at the local and global scales, as well as for setting a research agenda for understanding why large outbreaks are becoming more common."UK Covid cases highest in a MONTH with 37k new infections and 114 more deaths
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