Assessing Europe's Economic Appetite Amid Political Uncertainty

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Assessing Europe's Economic Appetite Amid Political Uncertainty
USD/CHFFTSE 100CAC 40
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The French political risks remain on the headlines and many investors are reluctant to go back to the French and European stock indices ahead of the upcoming legislative elections as they fear that a victory for Marine Le Pen’s National Rally could further hit valuations.

SNB expectations differ from poll to poll. The consensus on a Bloomberg survey hints at no change in rates today in Switzerland while a poll from Reuters suggest a 25bp cut to 1.25% following a 25bp cut from the European Central Bank earlier this month. The-franc fell to the lowest levels since February – the fall is amplified by the French political jitters.

For the BoE, things are more complicated. Yesterday’s CPI release showed that headline inflation in the UK fell to the BoE’s 2% policy target and the UK ended up being – against all odds at this time last year – the first nation among comparable peers to make this achievement. Yet two things worry the BoE doves and slow down rate cut expectations.

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