Australia facing one of the hottest summers on record, according to BOM prediction

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Australia facing one of the hottest summers on record, according to BOM prediction
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Australia is facing one of the hottest summers on record according to the Bureau of Meteorology's weather modelling which tips well above average temperatures across the country.

A dangerous storm sweeps over Beerburrum in Queensland on Wednesday evening, in what could be a familiar scene this summer.Australia is facing one of the hottest summers on record according to the Bureau of Meteorology's weather modelling which tips well-above-average temperatures across the country.

This trend suggests this summer will also produce well above average temperatures — a prediction supported by seasonal modelling. The other key factor is climate change, which in recent decades has ensured our summers are perpetually warmer than normal, except for strong La NIña years like 2010, 2011, 2020 and 2022.The BOM's seasonal model predicts the mean temperature across the country will land at about 1.5C above the baseline 1961—1990 average, which would comfortably position the upcoming summer in the top five hottest on record.

For example, while last summer was hot, the remnants of the 2022 Hunga-Tonga volcano eruption shifted wind patterns to generate high rainfall in the east and north.The BOM's outlook shows up to a 70 per cent chance of above median rain for parts of the east, and only displays a swing to drier conditions in western Tasmania.

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