The author argues that the commonly cited 2 percent of GDP target for NATO defense spending is an inadequate measure of true allied contributions. A more comprehensive analysis, considering factors like military capabilities, peacekeeping missions, and economic sanctions enforcement, reveals a more nuanced picture of global security partnerships.
The writer is a senior researcher at Rand Corporation. He was previously CEO of the Aspen Institute Germany , and senior adviser to the US assistant secretary of state for near eastern affairs It’s become a common refrain in the US: our allies don’t contribute enough to the costs of global security . But that claim doesn’t stand up to scrutiny. Look closely at what each ally actually provides, and the reality is different to what many might think.
That answers the big question: “What can each ally bring to the table in time of war?” There’s a related question, of course: how much should each ally provide, given the size of its economy? To get there, we divided each country’s share of the collective defence burden by its share of total allied GDP. Anything over 1 meant that a country was bearing its fair share, measured in capabilities, not just spending. Nineteen countries met that mark in 2023. The US at 1.
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