Bottled up in the Black Sea: Russia is having a dreadful naval war, hindering its great power ambitions

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Bottled up in the Black Sea: Russia is having a dreadful naval war, hindering its great power ambitions
Black Sea Grain InitiativeChinaCrimea
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Russia is becoming more reliant on naval support from China, limiting Moscow’s sea-power reach.

The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine has played out largely on land and in the air. It is a bitterly contested, grueling ground war, accompanied by brutal Russian aerial attacks on civilian infrastructure and a slow but increasing Ukrainian response.

Thinkers such as the British geopolitician Sir Halford Mackinder or the U.S. theorist Alfred Thayer Mahan characterized maritime powers as countries that possessed traits of democratic liberalism and free trade. In contrast, land powers were often portrayed as despotic and militaristic. The Black Sea is a tightly enclosed and relatively small sea comprising the near waters of the countries that surround it: Turkey to the south, Bulgaria and Romania to the west, Georgia to the east, and Ukraine and Russia to the north.

But Russia’s actions were thwarted through the collaboration of Romania, Bulgaria and Turkey to allow passage of cargo ships through their near waters, then through the Bosporus into the Mediterranean Sea. Russia has been forced to limit its use of Sevastopol and station its ships in the eastern part of the Black Sea. It cannot effectively function in the near waters it gained through the seizure of Crimea.

During the Cold War, meanwhile, though the Soviet Union built fast-moving missile boats and some aircraft carriers, its reach into far waters relied on submarines. The main purpose of the Soviet Mediterranean fleet was to prevent NATO penetration into the Black Sea.

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Black Sea Grain Initiative China Crimea Crimea Invasion Maritime Dispute Naval Power Russia-China Relation Russia-Ukraine Ukraine Ukraine Invasion 2022 Maritime Order

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