Our Braves vs. Phillies prop bets are all over Bryce Harper in a favorable matchup against Spencer Schwellenbach.
Bryce Harper is the best version of himself at home and tonight gives him a favorable matchup against Spencer Schwellenbach. He highlights our Braves vs. Phillies prop picks below.Aaron Nola looks to become the all-time wins leader at Citizens Bank Park as the Philadelphia Phillies host the Atlanta Braves for Sunday Night Baseball. , posting a solid 3.72 ERA, 3.04 xERA, and 3.12 FIP with some strong underlying metrics.
After hitting so many Overs in a row, I view this as a sell-high spot on this prop. He’s thrown past the sixth inning just once in his last four starts and the leading projection system THE BAT X projects him for just 83 pitches in tonight’s contest. Most importantly, he’s pitching at home where he’s been lights out with a 2.87 ERA and 1.05 WHIP across 87 ⅔ IP. His strikeout rate goes up from 21.2% to 23.9% at Citizens Bank Park.
It becomes even more intriguing when you consider the three teams that caused him to fall short of this mark rank No. 1 , No. 2 , and No. 3 in wRC+ against right-handed pitching. If he does make contact, look out — it’s a warm day with winds blowing out to right field and there’s a hitter-friendly ump behind the plate to aid his cause.
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