The votes were one of the last electoral tests before a general election expected in 2024 and had been seen as an indicator of the two main parties' prospects.
With stubbornly high inflation, economic stagnation, rising taxes and mortgages rates, industrial unrest, and long waiting times to use the state-run health service, the Conservatives had been braced for the possibility of losing all three contests.
In his victory speech, former postman Steve Tuckwell, who won the seat, said his party’s victory was because of local factors, pointing to the issue of London’s Labour mayor extending the ultra-low emission zone to include suburban areas such as Uxbridge. Labour won the constituency of Selby and Ainsty from the Conservatives by 4,000 votes after an ally of Johnson resigned in solidarity. The party said overturning the majority of 20,137 from the last general election marks the biggest majority the party has overturned at a by-election since World War Two.
John Curtice, Britain’s best-known pollster, said based on Labour’s performance the party is unlikely to win an outright majority at the next election.
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