Wayne Gretzky is the only player in hockey history to amass over 2,000 points, but it’s starting to look more than possible that he may finally have company. Can Connor McDavid break through? domluszczyszyn shows what it will take to join the club:
Now it’s McDavid’s turn.McDavid is currently projected to finish the 2022-23 season with 148 points; 71 more than he currently has. That means that after this season he should be sitting somewhere around 845 — almost halfway there. That’s the easy projection to make. The much more difficult one is projecting the next decade of McDavid’s career.
For five straight seasons, McDavid has scored at a 120-point pace or higher. He’s expected to keep that level up for another five seasons after this one, right until he’s 30. After that is where the age curve generally starts to accelerate where McDavid likely only has two-to-three more years above a 100-point pace.
Getting to 1,000 so fast is what gives McDavid ample opportunity to likely reach the next few milestones. He should hit 1,500 before his 1,000th game in his age-30 season, leaving a lot of runway for the final 500 points. The math is very much in McDavid’s favor.
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