Can fiction show us the cost of not getting the Colorado River right?

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Can fiction show us the cost of not getting the Colorado River right?
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Author Paolo Bacigalupi imagined a horrible future in which water management goes wrong in the West nearly 10 years ago in “The Water Knife.”

The bathtub ring is visible at Lake Powell near Ticaboo, Utah on Tuesday, Oct. 17, 2023.The following is an excerpt from the Salt Lake Tribune’s new Open Lands newsletter, a twice-a-month newsletter about Utah’s land, water and air from the environment team. For a sneak peek at what we’re working on and news we’re following,

Then, as now, the states try to grab what water they can from the West’s lifeline in the desert. But in Bacigalupi’s future, the federal government is weaker and the states are using every tool — courts, money, hit men and even explosives — to take the river’s water. Ten years ago, this didn’t feel as relevant as it does today. But we had all sorts of small indicators telling us that the world was absolutely already in change and yet you couldn’t perceive it, because all those changes are so small and so quiet.

We are using more water than is available and I think every single water manager knows it. I think every single person who’s actually involved in the nitty-gritty of the Colorado River Compact knows it. The population as a whole doesn’t understand it. There’s a model out there for some really bad behavior with water. And I think it tells us something. It’s something to pay attention to when either profit or scarcity get in the picture.

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