With an extra Champions League spot available to the top two performing leagues in Europe, the 2024/25 Premier League season promises a thrilling race for the top five positions. Can Newcastle United capitalize on this opportunity and return to the Champions League?
The 2023/24 season saw a significant shift in UEFA Champions League qualification with an extra place awarded to the top two leagues based on their collective performance in European competitions. Historically, this extra spot would have likely gone to the Premier League . However, in five out of the last six seasons, Italy and Germany emerged as the top performing leagues. With European competitions resuming, OPTA analysis reveals a 97.
8% chance of the Premier League securing a top two position in UEFA's coefficient rankings, guaranteeing a bonus Champions League spot for the 2024/25 season. This means the upcoming season will likely see a fierce battle for the top five positions rather than the traditional top four. Comparing the current Premier League standings to last season, Liverpool continues to dominate. Notably, the four clubs occupying second to fifth positions currently have a lower points tally compared to the same period last season. This suggests that finishing in the top five this season may require fewer points than last year. The Premier League appears more competitive overall, with a tighter cluster of teams vying for top positions. Looking ahead, Newcastle United is in a strong position to capitalize on this opportunity. Their upcoming matches against Southampton and Fulham present a crucial chance to climb the table. Securing six points from these fixtures would bring their total to 44 points after 24 games, likely placing them in the top four and definitely within the top five. To secure a Champions League spot, Newcastle would need to win seven to nine of their remaining fourteen matches, factoring in potential draws
Premier League Champions League Newcastle United Qualification Top Five Competition
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