China’s Currency Weakens Amid US Economic Strength and Tariff Fears

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China’s Currency Weakens Amid US Economic Strength and Tariff Fears
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The Chinese yuan (renminbi) has dropped to its lowest level in 16 months, driven by strong US economic indicators and concerns about hefty tariffs from the incoming Trump administration. The People’s Bank of China is trying to stabilize the currency, but the market is increasingly worried about the impact of potential trade wars.

China ’s currency has weakened to a 16-month low following strong US economic data overnight and as the potential for sharp tariff increases from the incoming Trump administration fuels concern over growth prospects for the world’s second-largest economy. The onshore renminbi fell 0.1 per cent to Rmb7.33 against the dollar on Wednesday, its weakest since September 2023, in spite of the People’s Bank of China ’s maintenance of a steady fixing rate ahead of Donald Trump’s inauguration this month.

China’s currency is allowed to trade within 2 per cent of the daily rate set by the central bank, and the exchange rate is nearing the lower limit of that trading band. The selling pressure partly reflects fears that the steep tariffs on Chinese products proposed by Trump would force the PBoC to weaken the renminbi to offset their impact on exports, which have helped the country maintain economic growth amid weak domestic consumer demand. Strong jobs and services data in the US on Tuesday also strengthened expectations the Federal Reserve would cut rates more slowly than previously expected, in contrast to China, which is easing monetary policy to battle deflationary pressures. “The market is impatient and wants a blow-up in the renminbi,” said Wee Khoon Chong, a senior markets strategist at BNY. The PBoC has declared its determination to maintain the “basic stability” of the renminbi and not allow “overshooting” of the exchange rate in markets. Beijing, which is grappling with deepening deflationary pressures in the economy stemming from low household and investor confidence, has gradually pivoted towards more stimulus measures to boost growth. On Wednesday, it expanded a programme to subsidise consumers who trade in old appliances such as air conditioners and washing machines. But many economists believe it is holding off on announcing more spending plans while it waits for Trump’s inauguration on January 20 to get more clarity on potential tariff

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