The return of Donald Trump as U.S. president in 2025 presents both challenges and opportunities for China as it navigates a complex geopolitical landscape.
It's another new year and that means it's time to look ahead into the coming year for the big stories that will shape China's growing role across Eurasia. Here's what's at stake for 2025. Finding Perspective While each new year brings its own set of questions, 2025 will inject an added layer with the return of Donald Trump as U.S. president in January.
Trump has promised to pick up where he left office and raise tariffs on Chinese imports up to 60 percent and keep adding export controls on advanced technology. A tougher relationship with the United States could have wider ripple effects for Beijing. Unlike back in 2018, when Trump first unleashed tariffs on China, the country's economy is in a two year slump as it grapples with high debt, deflation, and a real estate crisis. Further economic pain brought by Washington could potentially push many of Beijing's global ambitions off course, leading to setbacks in tech, lending, and broader influence. But Chinese leader Xi Jinping isn't only facing headwinds as he prepares for Trump 2.0. Xi now has a strengthened partnership with Russian President Vladimir Putin as both leaders chase revisions to international borders and the global and regional security order. And while Trump could ramp up pressure on Beijing in areas like the South China Sea, Xi is also sensing opportunity from the incoming U.S. president. Trump has promised to bring changes of his own to the international trading system and Washington's relationship with its allies and partners. Xi is banking that Trump's policies will alienate other countries from the United States, leading typically U.S.-friendly nations to hedge more toward China and a greater acceptance from others of Beijing's vision for the world order. Geopolitical Twins The biggest test could come early as the incoming Trump administration looks to the ongoing war in Ukrain
CHINA TRUMP INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS GEOPOLITICS ECONOMY
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