Washington moves into the top four of teams most likely to make the College Football Playoff. How do the rest of the contenders stack up?
The were the big winners of Week 7 with a dramatic victory against the . Both teams are still alive in the College Football Playoff hunt and could see each other again in the Pac-12 title game, but for now it’s advantage Huskies. The Huskies now have a 41.9 percent chance of making the CFP according to my projection model. That makes Washington the fourth-most likely team to make it in the field of four, behind the , and .
The playoff selection model is quite simple and very similar, in my opinion, to the committee’s selection process in that it creates a “resume strength rating,” derived from prior resume strength ratings, past playoff rankings and playoff selections for each season. Here’s how the top 25 national title contenders rank after Week 7, according to my model. Projected national title and College Football Playoff chances team title playoff 20.9% 57.5% 14.3% 48.7% 13.2% 48.8% 9.2% 31.6% 8.7% 41.9% 7.
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