Johnson was parachuted into the constituency of Uxbridge and South Ruislip in 2015 but at the last election his majority halved.
According to analysis from Ian Warren of Election Data, the Conservatives are likely to hold on, with the Lib Dems taking support from both Labour and the Tories.
Demographic changes to the seat work against the Conservative leader, with an influx of students and young families, and rapid change in diversity. The white British population has fallen 16% in the past decade - making it one of the fastest changing in terms of ethnic diversity.When I spoke to people in Uxbridge, as expected with such a polarising politician as Mr Johnson, opinions were split.
Some young Labour voters said they"hated" the Conservatives, while one woman informed me that her six-year-old daughter referred to him as"that silly man with the hair".
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