March Madness picks, odds, and predictions for Dayton Flyers vs Arizona Wildcats. March Madness free picks and best bet analysis.
Dayton stormed from 17 down to send Nevada packing in the Round of 64. Arizona had a slow start of their own, but they're not being punished for it by bettors, and our college basketball betting picks believe the Flyers and the points appeal.tips off at 12:45 p.m. ET on Saturday when the No. 2 Arizona Wildcats dance with the No. 7 Dayton Flyers for a spot in the Sweet 16. Arizona handled its business after a slow start versus No.
Big Dance nerves absolutely got the worst of Dayton in the opening 32 minutes of March Madness. The Flyers were tight, which led to unforced turnovers and missed layups. Hell, one of Dayton’s best players — Nate Santos — was scoreless in the first 30 minutes. According to ShotQualityBets, Arizona is 260th in points allowed per play when foes finish at the rim, while the Flyers rank 55th in the offensive flip of that metric. While Dayton isn’t known for its pace, it’s comfortable in a tempo game and is very good in transition , facing an Arizona defense ranked 323rd in points allowed to transition attacks.
Updated game models have the Wildcats winning but only by 6-8 points, which makes the Flyers a very live underdog at +9.5. The Flyers offense can keep pace with Arizona and do serious damage from beyond the arc. They’re much better than what we saw in the Round of 64. Arizona put a fright in anyone advancing it deep in their bracket picks with a slow start against No. 15 Long Beach State on Thursday. The Wildcats held a 41-35 halftime lead and eventually broke down the Beach for a 20-point victory that straddled the line adjustments for that Round of 64 game.
The Wildcats are 16-18 Over/Under on the season, having played Under in all three postseason games and boasting a 2-7 O/U streak in their last nine games overall.
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