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The United Kingdom has said it will campaign for NATO baseline defence spending for all members to increase from two per cent to two-and-a-half, although it barely hits the lower level itself.
It is estimated by the alliance that two-thirds of members will hit 2 per cent of GDP on defence, a remarkable leap forward giventhat ten years ago in 2014. Whether many nations could be cajoled to spend even more, short of the alliance actually being attacked, is unclear.: “We’re now saying we think that should be 2.5%. We think in a more dangerous world that would make sense.
Sunak said the increase in spending would be the “biggest… for a generation”, a “landmark moment, and a “generational investment”. While the increase from nearly 2.3 per cent as it was in 2023 to 2.5 per cent by 2030 is meaningful, the Prime Minister’s rhetoric perhaps oversells the increase: even at 2.5, British military spending as a proportion of the total economy would be low by historic levels, and was there as recently as 2009.
The planned increase of spending — which would have to survive at least two general elections’ worth of future governments to be realised over the next six years — comes amid a steady drumbeat of warlike rhetoric across Europe, as political and military leaders react uneasily to Russian aggression in Ukraine. Shapps has been one of those voices, and said earlier this year that the West is “at the dawn of a new era”, and is no longer post Cold War, but is now rather “pre-war”.
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