'Emissions Canyon': World on Track for 2.9°C of Warming

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'Emissions Canyon': World on Track for 2.9°C of Warming
Cop28Fossil FuelsGreenhouse Gas Emissions
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Olivia Rosane is a staff writer for Common Dreams.

Nations' current unconditional climate action plans under the Paris agreement would put the world on track for 2.9°C of warming by 2100, the United Nations Environment Program warned Monday. The UNEP 's 2023 Emissions Gap Report, released ahead of next week's U.N. Climate Change Conference in the United Arab Emirates, finds that policymakers must slash greenhouse gas emissions by 28% by 2030 to limit warming to 2°C above preindustrial levels and 42% to halt warming at 1.

Currently implemented policies put the world on track for 3°C of warming by 2100, unconditional NDCs for 2.9°C, conditional NDCs for 2.5°C, and conditional NDCs combined with net-zero pledges give temperatures a 66% chance of topping out at 2°C. Under the last, most optimistic scenario, the world is left with a 14% chance of limiting warming to 1.5°C.

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