Manchester City striker Erling Haaland has scored nine goals in just four Premier League games this season - but can xG explain his devastating finishing?
Manchester City striker Erling Haaland has scored nine goals in just four Premier League games this season - but can expected goals explain his devastating finishing? Here at Sky Sports, we like expected goals - or at least most of us do. Generally, we use xG as a measure of chance quality. The higher the xG for a given shot, the more likely the average player is to score from that chance. But... not all shots are equal, and not all players are average.
Those shots were so good, Opta's model predicted he should have scored 1.5 goals more than could be expected from those chances. It goes the other way, too. Fail to hit the target or make it too easy for the keeper to save and your post-shot xG will be lower than your xG. Tomas Soucek and, surprisingly, Diogo Jota have forgotten to bring their shooting boots so far this season. Watch Man City vs Arsenal live on Sky Sports next Sunday, kick-off 4.
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