Expected Goals: Analyzing Premier League Match Outcomes

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Expected Goals: Analyzing Premier League Match Outcomes
Premier LeagueExpected Goals (Xg)Football Analysis
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This article uses Expected Goals (xG) to analyze the results of Saturday's Premier League matches. xG, a metric that assigns a value to each shot based on its difficulty, provides a deeper understanding of team performance beyond basic shot counts. The article highlights how teams with higher xG totals generally won, with exceptions like Man City's clinical finishing against West Ham. It also points out the close xG totals in the two draw games.

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So rather than just the usual basic statistics of how many shots each team has, Expected Goals factors in where shots were taken from and how good a chance was and whether defenders in the way etc. The five teams that won on Saturday, all had significantly higher Expected Goals stats than their opponents.

Whilst the two games that ended as draws, these were the two matches that easily had the closest Expected Goals totals.

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Premier League Expected Goals (Xg) Football Analysis Match Outcomes Statistics

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