The Home Office admits the deterrent effect is 'uncertain'.
“We need to get the flights off the ground, and that’s when we will see the deterrent effect kick in”
The proposal was first mooted in 2022, but no flights have ever taken off as they’ve been thwarted by legal challenges – including a November Supreme Court ruling, which declared the scheme “ This policy shares some key features with the UK’s Rwanda scheme, and ministers in this country have been keen to highlight the decline in Australian small boat arrivals as evidence that a similar approach will work here.
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