Fed's favorite inflation gauge is expected to show very slow progress on Friday

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Fed's favorite inflation gauge is expected to show very slow progress on Friday
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The Commerce Department's measure of personal consumption expenditures prices is expected to show inflation in April running at a 2.7% annual rate.

The Commerce Department's measure of personal consumption expenditures prices will be released Friday morning and is expected to show inflation in April running at a 2.7% annual rate, according to Dow Jones.

The Commerce Department's measure of personal consumption expenditures prices is expected to show inflation in April running at a 2.7% annual rate, according to the Dow Jones estimates both for overall inflation and the "core" that excludes food and energy costs. "We do not expect any major upward or downward surprises in Friday's PCE as most of the recent economic data is indicative of an economy that has settled into a nice long-term simmer of not too hot and not too cold," said Carol Schleif, chief investment officer at BMO Family Office. "That said, getting to the Fed's 2% target is apt to be a bumpy landing.

The Fed prefers the PCE measure as it accounts for shifts in consumer behavior, such as when shoppers will substitute less-expensive items for pricier ones. The theory is that the methodology provides a better look at the actual cost of living rather than just absolute prices. Fed officials particularly focus on core as it serves as a better longer-term indicator.

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