Final UK coronavirus death toll could be worse than WW2
THE final UK coronavirus death toll could be worse than WW2 with almost 700,000 fatalities over five years, a new study warns.
It is based on projected death rates linked to the virus, together with the economic impact of social distancing or lockdown and that of previous recessions.paper He adds: "The challenge for the UK Government will be to manage its interventions so that the recession that is now inevitable is not significantly worse than that following the 2007–9 financial crash."
"The policy of coming out of lockdown gradually, over five years - which will be necessary if we are to keep the infection rate close to or below one - will reduce the toll on life from the coronavirus but incur a far greater loss of life through the impoverishment of the nation. The net loss of life is likely to be of the order of 675,000 lives. This is higher than over the six years of the Second World War."I think we can more or less justify a lockdown of two months based on the ill effects to the economy, but three months is too long.
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