College basketball odds, picks and predictions for Florida Gators vs Alabama Crimson Tide. NCAAB betting free pick and best bet analysis.
There's certainly no love lost between these two SEC foes as Alabama and Florida square off for the third time this season. What's been a common theme in both is Walter Clayton's production and our picks are banking on a three-peat performance.are expecting a shootout between these high-scoring squads with the Over/Under sitting at a whopping 174 and the Tide installed as 4-point favorites. See how I'm attacking thesesqueezing out a 98-93 overtime victory in Tuscaloosa.
Clayton thrives at midrange and the perimeter and the Tide don't do a good job of defending either area. They allow a high frequency and rank 313th in defensive efficiency against midrange shots according to ShotQualityBets. While they have an impressive opponent three-point percentage they allow plenty of high-quality attempts from beyond the arc which has resulted in that number soaring to 36.6% away from home.
On offense, the Tide are heavily reliant on the deep ball, ranking 16th in the country in three-point rate . That can make their offense extremely volatile, especially against Florida who has done a good job guarding outside shooters. The Gators have the lowest opponent three-point percentage in SEC play and held the Tide to 28.8% shooting from deep across both games head-to-head.
While the Gators have been defending well on the perimeter they haven't been great at the rim. They are eighth in the conference in opponent two-point percentage and they struggled to contain Alabama forward. Nelson averages 12.0 ppg and he dropped 22 points in the first meeting before scoring 12 against Florida last week.This spread opened with Alabama at -4.5 or -4 and hasn't seen any movement. The total opened at 170.
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