GCSE pupils warned of ‘shock’ as 300,000 fewer top grades predicted

A return to pre-pandemic grading means this year’s results in England will be lower than last year.

Around 300,000 fewer top GCSE grades could be awarded this week in a “shock” to pupils and their parents, it has been suggested.

It comes after Covid-19 led to an increase in top GCSE grades in 2020 and 2021, with results based on teacher assessments instead of exams. But he added: “It is necessary because the emergency reliance on teacher assessment raised the number of top awards by 437,964, giving many pupils a false picture of their capabilities.

The report predicts that girls’ lead over boys in scoring more top GCSE grades could narrow this year, but female students will “still remain far ahead”. The English Baccalaureate – a Government measure – aims to make sure that pupils take English, maths, science, a humanities subject and a language at GCSE.

Prof Smithers said: “Without radical change, the percentage achieving EBacc will never increase much beyond where it is now. The idea of establishing this particular set of core subjects appears to be beyond its sell by date.In the analysis before GCSE results day, Prof Smithers highlighted the “intriguing” trend that religious studies is becoming more popular at GCSE.

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