Dax has enjoyed an unexpectedly strong market performance since the US elections
The gloom around investing in Europe after the re-election of Donald Trump as US president is profound, unavoidable, depressing, and maybe a little misplaced. Sad connoisseurs of the year-ahead investment outlook season among investment banks and asset managers know the consensus at this point is truly overwhelming and bracingly simple: buy US. Keep buying US. Believe in the US exceptionalism story. Not only is the US firing on all cylinders but Europe is a mess.
Another is that immediately after the razzle-dazzle of the US election, Germany itself fell in to political hot water. Early federal elections have now been called for February and the debate is heating up over whether Germany should loosen its long-standing resistance to more generous borrowing and fiscal spending. “There’s hope that the German election might bring about change,” says Fowler — on deficit expansion and on broad corporate strategy, especially in the crucial autos sector.
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