Gold outlook turns bearish, with Jackson Hole becoming the next catalyst

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Gold outlook turns bearish, with Jackson Hole becoming the next catalyst
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Global markets are pricing a shift away from normalization cuts towards aggressive Fed easing, which is part of the story on the extraordinarily high correlations across markets over the last sessions, TDS senior commodity strategist Daniel Ghali notes.

Global marketsare pricing a shift away from normalization cuts towards aggressive Fed easing, which is part of the story on the extraordinarily high correlations across markets over the last sessions, TDS senior commodity strategist Daniel Ghali notes. Gold positioning becomes tactically bearish “The positioning set-up in Gold markets is becoming tactically bearish. Macro fund positioning is not only bloated.

CTAs remain 'max long', and while our simulations of future prices don't point to imminent risks of large-scale liquidations, the threshold for liquidations to kick off is inching closer to market prices by the day, given that price action has remained largely range-bound over the last several months.

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