The survey was taken several days after the first and possibly only debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.
Some of the top U.S. economists and fund managers now believe Vice President Kamala Harris will win the November presidential election against Donald Trump , according to the latest CNBC Fed Survey.
Vice President Kamala Harris, left, at the White House, Washington, July 22, 2024, and former President Donald Trump in Bedminster, New Jersey, Aug. 15, 2024.The 27 respondents to the survey include investment strategists, economists and fund managers. Among the group, 48% see a Harris victory as the most likely scenario, while 41% believe
Harris has focused her economic pitch on growing the middle class and lowering consumer costs, including by providing housing subsidies, expanding tax credits and deductions, along with cracking down on what she sees as corporate "price gouging." The forecasts shift when the question is about the broader economy. Here, 44% see Trump as a better candidate for the economy as a whole, vs. 41% for Harris.
"Other than that, the proposals of the two candidates differ largely on winners vs. losers, rather than their impact on overall economic growth," he added.
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