Hedge fund trend followers endure tough year after banner 2022

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Hedge fund trend followers endure tough year after banner 2022
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Quantitative funds hit by reversals in government bonds as investors rethink their interest rate expectations

But this year investors have struggled to gauge the path for global interest rates, hurting the performance of many trend followers, which tend to need clear, persistent trends in order to profit. Unexpected market moves, such as the spike in European natural gas prices, have also dented profitability.

Lynx, which runs $7bn, has suffered a 9.3 per cent fall in one if its main funds this year to the end of July, after making 36.8 per cent in 2022. While funds have slightly different trading strategies, many suffered in March when markets quickly dialled down theiron how much further interest rates would rise following the collapse of banks including Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse.

“We were not overly leveraged at the portfolio level, however, we were near our maximum allowed risk in fixed-income markets,” said Christopher Reeve, director of risk at Aspect Capital.

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