They need to engage people with progressive views who don’t trust big national institutions.
President Biden greets visitors during a Fourth of July celebration for military and veteran families at the White House. Celinda Lake, a Democratic strategist, was one of two lead pollsters for Joe Biden’s 2020 presidential campaign and is part of the 2024 Biden polling team. Justin Talbot Zorn is a senior adviser for policy and strategy at the Center for Economic and Policy Research in D.C.
While we found evidence that Americans are, across the board, exhibiting low levels of confidence in other people and institutions, we found — just as important — that people are enormously divided on questions of where to place the confidence that they do have.People’s trust in government — including public schools, medical authorities, federal agencies and similar institutions — maps strongly to Democratic partisanship and predicts voting for Biden.
Finally, we found that alienation — the belief that systems are irreparably broken, that the economy and political institutions are stacked against people like oneself, and that ordinary and nonviolent political actions are pointless — also predicts voting for Trump over Biden, although it is also associated with voting third-party and not voting. This should be a warning sign for Democrats.
But the implications go beyond 2024. To address climate change, inequality, the structural failures of the health-care system and other pressing issues, Democrats need to convince Americans of the case for collective action for the public good.
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