How Elon Musk's Overconfidence Led To Tesla’s Growth Slowdown

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How Elon Musk's Overconfidence Led To Tesla’s Growth Slowdown
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  • 📰 cleantechnica
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This article explores the potential reasons behind Tesla's recent slowdown in growth, suggesting that Elon Musk's overconfidence in Full Self Driving (FSD) and a shift in focus towards the Cybertruck may have contributed to the situation.

Some of this article is stuff that’s been widely discussed for months, but I think it goes a little deeper into how I think we got here. Maybe I’m wrong, but after covering Tesla and Elon Musk very closely for 12 years and having my assumptions and analysis affirmed by Musk countless times, I do think I could be right with this. Also, frankly, it’s not rocket science.

The 50% growth rate Musk repeated for years had been reality, and he just kept that projection growing, seemingly without giving too much consideration to the possibility that it would be reduced and growth would taper off. Or maybe it was really just all about overconfidence in FSD development. In any case, we haven’t been seeing 50% annual growth, and Musk eventually stopped talking about this, and wouldn’t even give a sales forecast for 2024.

But he can’t say he’s taken a wrong course, can’t say he’s too distracted, and can’t say he’s failed in his duties at Tesla. And this is where a Hail Mary savior comes in.

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