Despite the Conservatives’ somewhat unexpected victory Uxbridge and South Ruislip, the massive defeats in Selby and Ainsty and Somerton and Frome suggest Rishi Sunak is only heading one way – and that’s out of Downing Street 🔎 Analysis by singharj
But far more significant when trying to lead the morning tea leaves ahead of the next general election was Labour’s stunning victory in Selby.
This was a Brexit-voting seat where Tories on the doorstep said immigration was one of the biggest factors raised but where the party’s voters seemingly lacked the enthusiasm to turn out and support Mr Sunak despite his Leave-tinged pledge to “stop the boats” crossing the Channel. Meanwhile, there was another result reminiscent of the mid-90s in Somerton and Frome, where the Liberal Democrats defeated the Tories on a 29 percentage point swing, overturning a big majority of 19,213.Those twin defeats for the Tories suggest it could be facing another 1990s-style drubbing in, although they will cling to the hope that voters who stayed at home rather than switching to Labour and the Lib Dems can be won back and force a closer outcome.
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