The Canadian prime minister's grim poll numbers stoke speculation about his future.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is down in the polls despite every effort to reverse the fortunes of his Liberal Party in Canada. | Pavel Golovkin/APby double digits for nearly a year, and the outlook for the once popular prime minister is so grim that some old guard Liberals have been grumbling that maybe he should just step down and give someone else a shot.
But the moment he says he’s going, he becomes a lame duck and the leadership race breaks out — so it’s in his interest to wait as long as possible before saying otherwise. Pierre Poilievre, a populist attack-dog leader soaring high in the polls, embodies the very politics and values Trudeau opposes. | Dave Chan/AFP via Getty Images
Had the previous, more centrist Conservative leader, Erin O’Toole, not been given the boot after the last election, Trudeau might be more inclined to call it a day, the former senior Liberal said.The country’s political elite have speculated for months about who could replace Trudeau, and establishment Liberals have even said the quiet part out loud.
Potential replacements keep popping up in news coverage amid frenzied speculation, but for a party once famous for its infighting, no one has tried to push him off the ledge. “It’s not like oh, boom, if Trudeau is replaced by Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland, it’s back to neck and neck. It’s not working that way right now,” said Maggi, who is among the pollsters who have surveyed the public on potential replacements.Freeland has the strongest name recognition of the bunch, while the Conservatives, aiming to score points in Parliamentary debates, have billed Mark Carney, a former central banker to both Canada and the U.K., as the next in line after Trudeau.
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