Our early Illinois vs Nebraska leans see the spread as too lofty and are taking the Fighting Illini to cover.
Illinois is a nine-point underdog against Nebraska and that is simply too many points! The Huskers are good, but they haven't faced a legitimate rushing attack and the Fighting Illini are better on the ground than their surface numbers tell.But they also played a Colorado team that can't run the ball, a UTEP team that has struggled on the ground, and an FCS team in Northern Iowa. And the Huskers have faced a rush play rate of just 38.7%, the fifth-lowest mark in college football.
Illinois will also be the first true test for quarterback Dylan Raiola. The freshman quarterback has been outstanding so far for Nebraska, but the Illini intercepted Kansas quarterback Jalon Daniels three times and took the ball away from him via a fumble as well. When Raiola does throw, he’s likely going to face stiffer resistance than he has so far. The Illini are allowing just a 54.1% completion rate to their opponents, and have a 42% success rate on standard downs. They’ve also allowed just five yards per pass attempt, 18th-best in the country.
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