India Surges Ahead of China as Top Oil Demand Driver

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India Surges Ahead of China as Top Oil Demand Driver
INDIACHINAOIL DEMAND
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Holiday travel boosts gasoline and diesel demand in India, propelling the country to become the world's largest driver of oil demand growth, surpassing China.

Holiday travel in India last month led to a surge in demand for gasoline and diesel. Gasoline demand jumped 9.8% to 2.99 million tons in December, while diesel demand rose 4.9% to 7.07 million tons, according to the Economic Times, citing data from state-owned refiners. This strong increase follows months of slower consumption due to seasonal factors like the monsoon season, which typically reduces travel and agricultural activity.

Diesel remains the most consumed fuel in India, accounting for 40% of oil product consumption, with the transport sector responsible for 70% of national diesel sales. India is poised to become the world's largest driver of oil demand growth, surpassing China. The country is expected to account for 25% of global oil demand growth this year and next, according to the EIA. Last year, India's oil consumption growth was estimated at around 220,000 barrels per day, compared to China's 90,000 bpd growth. India's oil demand is projected to grow by 330,000 bpd in 2025. While China's growth rate is expected to be higher next year, it will still lag behind India's consumption increase. According to S&P Global Commodity Insights, India's oil demand growth was more modest last year at 180,000 barrels per day compared to 148,000 barrels per day for China. The analytical outlet also predicts that India will overtake China as the biggest driver of demand growth this year, adding 3.2% in 2024 compared to 1.7% for China

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