Inflation tracker: Inflation remains on a downward trend, except for the United States

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Inflation tracker: Inflation remains on a downward trend, except for the United States
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Despite the rebound in the United States, inflation continues overall to slow in the G7 countries and in the euro area as a whole.

In Japan, keeping consumer prices above 2% will remain complicated in the short term, due to the loss of momentum observed this winter: inflation rebounded in February due to base effects, but the 3m/3M annualised rate fell back to 1.3%. The decline in the 3m/3m annualised rate is more marked in services, down to only 0.4%. The wage increase granted following the annual wage negotiations : 5.3% in total, including 3.

On the other hand, inflation continues to decline in the euro area, with inflation expected to fall temporarily below 2% in the second quarter, in line with our forecast. The ECB will also take note of the general decline in alternative inflation measures , which are now close to or below 3%. On a year-on-year basis, the harmonised index of prices in the euro area fell by 0.2 points to 2.4% in March, according to Eurostat's preliminary estimate.

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