High risk assault on Israel reflects Iranian elite’s belief that not retaliating after July assassination of Ismail Haniyeh was a strategic mistake
Iran said its supreme leader made the decision to fire dozens of missiles into Israel as retaliation for the Israeli invasion of Lebanon and the recent killings of leaders ofThe Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps said the decision had been made by Ali Khamenei with the backing of the supreme national security council and the Iranian defence ministry.
It was not clear if Middle Eastern states such as Jordan or Saudi Arabia played any part in protecting Israel’s defences as they were alleged to have done when Iran attacked Israel in April in response to the killing of Iranian officials inside a consulate in Damascus. The current president, Masoud Pezeshkian, said he did not respond to Haniyeh’s death because he had been given assurances that Israel was on the verge of signing a ceasefire deal within a week or two.A poster depicting the late Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh and Hezbollah’s late leader Hassan Nasrallah in Lebanon in September.
He said the work of Hezbollah had not been disrupted and no damage had been done to Hezbollah and its combat power. “After this, Hezbollah will start a new era,” he added.
The likelihood that Iran would make such a dramatic strategic switch in the midst of the current tension is low, especially since it hands Netanyahu an excuse to attack Iran’s nuclear sites.
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