After a decade of economic calamity and political repression, Venezuela stands on the brink of once-unfathomable change: Maduro may lose the presidency by a landslide.
, including news from around the globe and interesting ideas and opinions to know, sent to your inbox on Monday, Wednesday and Friday.For the span of a generation, Venezuela’s opposition has toiled fitfully and, at times, ineffectually to claw back power from, intense factional infighting and constant intimidation and attacks by forces loyal to President Nicolás Maduro, who has ruled since the death of the charismatic socialist demagogue Hugo Chávez in 2013.
“If the margin is as wide as we expect it to be, it’ll be something that’s impossible to hide, and the legitimacy of the regime will have vanished,” Roberto Patiño, a prominent social activist and community organizer, told me this week. Maduro, sensing the narrowing of his political horizons, recently scare-mongered about an opposition victory, saying it would lead to “a fratricidal civil war provoked by fascists” and warned of a “bloodbath.
Even if Maduro loses, his allies will still dominate the country’s judiciary, its rubber-stamp legislature, and the armed forces. Most of the country’s major provincial governors and city mayors are in Maduro’s camp. The opposition anticipates some process of negotiation with Maduro that can give him a gentle off-ramp.
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