Isaac Asimov's Predictions for 2024: Spot On or Way Off?

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Isaac Asimov's Predictions for 2024: Spot On or Way Off?
NEWS ANALYSISFUTURISMISAAC ASIMOV
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This article examines predictions made by science fiction author Isaac Asimov in 1974 about the year 2024, specifically focusing on his imagining of a globalized world and the future of the United States.

From blind fortune-tellers to tech experts, many throughout the years have had a go at predicting the future – with varying levels of success. One such look forwards through time is a reader’s digest called Saturday Review World published in August 1974. The issue speculated on what the world would be like 50 years into the future – 2024 – and featured thought pieces from famous names like Neil Armstrong, Wehrner von Braun, and Jacques Cousteau.

The 136-page issue features ‘Clippings from tomorrow’s newspapers’ written by iconic sci-fi writer Isaac Asimov, famous for introducing the ‘three laws of robotics’. He also wrote I, Robot, a collection of sci-fi short stories published in 1950, which inspired the 2004 film of the same name starring Will Smith. Asimov’s feature, imagining news stories written 50 years into his future, suggested he thought humans could have a colony on the moon – not quite a reality today. But what did he get right, or wrong? This article takes a look back. The speculative article imagines that a ‘global economic board’ was set up in the 1990s. It suggests that borders and divisions between countries have become much less important, reducing ‘the divisions of the world population on racial, linguistic, and cultural bases’. Asimov then suggests that in 2026 the United States would no longer be considered an individual country – warning that this could spark ‘demonstrations of large size’ from nationalists. It’s safe to say this hasn’t come to pass, with national and cultural identity just as important as ever for many

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NEWS ANALYSIS FUTURISM ISAAC ASIMOV PREDICTIONS 2024 FUTURE GLOBALIZATION UNITED STATES

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