Hezbollah's goal to deter Israel from further conflict has failed, but unless it is critically weakened, the attacks on Lebanon may not achieve what Israel wants.
When the Lebanese militant group started firing rockets into Israel on October 8, the day after the Hamas attacks in southern Israel , it had very clear goals.
"Of course, Hezbollah miscalculated," Mohanad Hage Ali, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Middle East Centre told the ABC. "Abandoning this stance now would amount to a historic defeat, dealing the group's credibility an even more devastating blow than its security lapses have," the Iran, which regards Hezbollah as part of its "forward defence" strategy, an insurance policy against Israeli or US attack, will be considering its response too, although to date it has been unwilling to enter the conflict more directly to support Hezbollah.
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