Trump holds a slight lead in the Grand Canyon State with roughly six weeks until Election Day.
As the race to November 5 heats up, former President Donald Trump is holding on to a slight lead in Arizona, one of seven critical states that could tip the results of the 2024 election.Recent polling shows that Trump may be building on his lead above Vice President Kamala Harris in the Grand Canyon State, where the former president lost to President Joe Biden in 2020 by just under 11,000 votes.
FiveThirtyEight's election forecast puts Arizona in the 'toss-up' category, meaning that both candidates have under a 60 percent chance of winning the state come November. As of Monday, Trump was given a 54 percent chance in Arizona, while Harris was given a 46 percent chance, per the site's model. On average, Trump is up by 1.2 percentage points in Arizona, per FiveThirtyEight's tracking.RealClearPolling's forecast also says that the race in Arizona is a 'toss-up.
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