Polling indicates Kamala Harris’s candidacy has tightened the US presidential race. At home, the numbers are a mixed bag for the government.
The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. Election analyst Nate Silver’s national poll aggregate has Democratic nominee and current vice president Kamala Harris leading Republican nominee and former president Donald Trump by 45.5–44.1%, with 5.0% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Silver’s model gives Harris a 66% chance to win the popular vote, compared to a 50.5% chance in the Electoral College. The model indicates Harris needs to win the popular vote by at least two points to be the favourite to win the Electoral College. Inflation increased 1%, the same as in the March quarter, for a 12-month rate of 3.8%. However, the trimmed mean and weighted median measures of core inflation were both lower than headline inflation at 0.8% in the June quarter.
Primary votes were 34% Coalition , 32% Labor , 11% Greens , 7% One Nation , 2% UAP , 9% for all Others and 6% undecided . On union membership, 11% said they were currently union members, 28% were not currently members but had been previously and 58% had never been a member. By 64–26%, voters thought unions important . By 51–26%, they thought workers would be better off with stronger unions .
Anthony Albanese Australian Labor Party Donald Trump Essential Poll Inflation Kamala Harris Morgan Poll Politics Redbridge Poll US Election 2024 Yougov Poll
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