Jason Logan's Kansas City Chiefs preview for 2024, where the defending champs are paying a heavy title tax.
The defending Super Bowl champs enter 2024 as the team to beat, but from a betting perspective, the Chiefs face an ATS challenge as favorites in a majority of their games. Jason Logan breaks it all down below.When it comes to the Kansas City Chiefs, perhaps the biggest thing standing in the way of a third straight Super Bowl title is themselves.
Those KC spreads open big and get even bigger, as the public piles on and oddsmakers inflate the week-to-week lines. With the futures value slim and the spreads soaring, is it smarter to find spots to bet against the Chiefs in 2024? Although the stop unit lost some standouts, there are up-and-coming contributors at all three levels, most notably in the secondary. If Mahomes & Co. can up their ho-hum output of 2023 , then it forces foes to go pass-heavy and opens the floodgates for Spagnuolo’s pass rush, which ranked second in sacks and pressure rate in 2023.It’s a terrible trident of betting badness facing Kansas City before the season even starts. One, the offseason was a shit show.
The Week 7 trip to San Francisco comes after the bye and is one of only two look-ahead lines in which KC is catching points. So, you know what to do. While this is a bit of a revenge spot for the Chiefs, who lost to Vegas at home last Xmas, it’s a very challenging schedule spot. Kansas City will play its fifth game in a 25-day window in Week 13, thanks to a Monday game versus Tampa Bay in Week 9 and this funky Friday timeslot.
Player projections for Mahomes are fantastic but not quite on par with the expectations of oddsmakers, who have the KC QB forecasted for 34.5 touchdown throws. He’s bouncing between 28 and 32.5 projected touchdowns for 2024, which comes in below this prop total.Scorekeeper at Arrowhead Stadium has become one of the easiest jobs in the NFL the past two seasons, with the Chiefs' defense locking down visitors and making a bundle for Under bettors.
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