Kevin Schofield is Politics Editor of HuffPost UK.
Asked today whether he agreed, Tryl, UK director of the More in Common think-tank, said: “Who am I to disagree with the great John Curtice?
“I would maybe put it at 95% rather than 99% personally, but I still think it is very, very likely, simply because I don’t think we know. “Something could emerge all the structural factors point to a Labour victory. But we have very high electoral volatility. The Conservatives have been as low as 14% in the polls this parliament and as high as 54%.
“That is extraordinary levels of volatility, which means I don’t think we can take everything totally for granted, even if you can have a fairly good guess at the result.”Tryl said a new More in Common poll released this morning put Labour’s lead over the Tories at 17 points.Keir Starmer Says His Commitment To UK's Nuclear Weapons Is 'Total'HuffPost UK Daily Brief
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