If Brexit is delivered by polling day, Conservatives could benefit at the ballot box but if not, they are likely to be punished.
In a presentation to political journalists entitled Beyond The Bubble: The Battle For Unpopularity, Lord Hayward predicted turnout would drop dramatically.
There are also elections for mayors in Bedford, Copeland, Leicester, Mansfield, Middlesbrough and North of Tyne. "Considering there is the general perception that the grassroots of the Tory party are in total despair and immobile, 96% is the highest figure in this four-year cycle that's ever been achieved," said Lord Hayward.
With the Tories unlikely to make gains after their success in 2015, Labour - which already controls many metropolitan boroughs and unitary authorities - will be hoping to take control of Trafford, Calderdale and Dudley.
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