There has been a clear shift from the Tories to Labour in London but the bigger picture is more complicated. There are lots of areas where Keir Starmer's party still face questions - it is too early to say if he is gaining enough ground in areas needed to win a general election.
The picture may look rosier for Labour when we know how the share of the vote has changed: Currently, it looks as if the Tories have dropped 10 percentage points compared to the 2019 general election, but it will be some time before we can properly analyse those numbers.London Mayor Sadiq Khan says Boris Johnson won Wandsworth for Labour.
Labour claim they would have gained sixteen"Leave" voting general election seats based on aggregate vote share: Carlisle, Copeland, Great Grimsby, Hartlepool, Ipswich, Leigh, Lincoln, Peterborough, Stevenage, Thurrock, West Bromwich East, West Bromwich West, Wolverhampton North East, Wolverhampton South West, Worcester, Workington. This will take some time to verify.
The Tories' support dropped markedly in the south, but less than Labour in the north, suggesting that headwinds remain for Keir Starmer's party in areas they need to claw back. The Liberal Democrats have reason to cheer. They have increased support in all four regions of England, according to the analysis for nearly 500 council wards for Sky News. Winning Hull from Labour, securing gains from the Tories in Merton and depriving the Tories of a majority in David Cameron's backyard of West Oxfordshire.
But aside from a clear shift away from the Tories in London, the picture is messy: symbolic wins for Labour, but lots of areas where they still face questions. Neither main party is unambiguously the winner from the first tranche of the first few hours of this local election.
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