College basketball odds, picks and predictions for Longwood Lancers vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs. NCAAB betting free pick and best bet analysis.
UNC Asheville is just a short 2.5-point favorite against Longwood in Sunday's Big South conclusion but our NCAAB picks are confident the Bulldogs will be the ones to secure their spot in the Big Dance — find out why below.The Big South Tournament concludes with a final matchup between the surprise No. 5-seeded Longwood Lancers and the No. 2-seeded UNC Asheville Bulldogs.
Mike Morrell’s squad is led by one of the top mid-major stars in forward Drew Pember, who averages 20.5 points, 8.1 rebounds, 3.4 assists, and 1.9 blocks per game. The ultra-productive forward was at his best on Saturday and the Bulldogs needed every bit of his outstanding triple-double stat line to advance. Pember dropped 30 points, 13 rebounds, 10 assists, two steals, and two blocks in the overtime win over Gardner Webb in the semis.
ttempt rate metric). That’s the least efficient shot in basketball, and it’s not like the Lancers are particularly adept at knocking them down, hitting 2-point jumpers at just 37.3%, which ranks 216On the flip side, the Bulldogs make their hay offensively by getting to the foul stripe, ranking 12th nationally in free throw attempts and 10th in free throws made per game . They have an advantage on their efficiency from the line in this matchup as they make 74.
UNC Asheville is the better team and therefore will have my bet. The Bulldogs have the much better record, have the better analytical profile , and have not only the best player on the court but arguably the best player of any mid-major conference.I prefer to play the Under in most conference championship games unless given a good reason to think otherwise. Teams tend to tighten up a bit with so much at stake, especially when neither has the comfort of playing in their home gym.
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